Friday, March 9, 2012 - 9:39 AM

The permanent members of the United Nations Security Council -- Britain, China, France, Russia, and the United States -- plus Germany issued a statement demanding that International Atomic Energy Association (IAEA) inspectors have access to "all relevant sites," that are suspected of nuclear weapons development, especially the Parchin military complex. Parchin came up in the nuclear watchdog's report released last November as a site where Iran is suspected to have constructed a large containment vessel designed for explosives testing which could set off a nuclear weapon. The world powers have just recently agreed to hold negotiations with Iran, but said, "We call on Iran to enter, without pre-conditions, into a sustained process of serious dialogue, which will produce concrete results." Turkey's foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, said the talks would take place in Istanbul in the beginning of April.
Syria
The Syrian opposition has rejected a call by United Nations and Arab League envoy Kofi Annan for dialogue with the regime of Bashar al-Assad. Annan, who is scheduled to arrive in Damascus on Saturday, said he would push for a ceasefire and an end to hostilities, but continued by saying that "ultimately the solution lies in a political settlement." The remarks sparked anger from the head of the Syrian National Council, Burhan Ghalioun, who said, "These kinds of comments are disappointing and do not give a lot of hope for people in Syria being massacred every day." Meanwhile, U.N. Humanitarian chief Valerie Amos was the first senior international official allowed into Homs since the month-long bombardment of the city. She described the devastation by saying, "Part of Homs is completely destroyed and I am concerned to know what happened to the people who live in that part of the city." Syrian Red Crescent workers were also given access to Homs after repeatedly being denied entrance, but said they entered the Bab Amr neighborhood and found it empty of its residents. Meanwhile, tanks were reported in Homs today, killing four people and preventing opposition protesters from taking to the street to mark the anniversary of a government crackdown on Kurdish unrest in 2004 during which 30 people were killed.
Headlines
Arguments & Analysis
'Iraq's federalism quandary' (Joost Hiltermann, Sean Kane, & Raad Alkadiri, National Interest)
"The incentives generated by the 2005 constitution force Baghdad and Erbil to make a strategic choice. Under the charter's most radical option, Kurdistan would establish some form of self-sufficient autarky. This would be a poor outcome for all involved. The KRG would need to raise capital for export pipelines, persuade hostile neighbors to accept Kurdish hydrocarbon exports and rely on its own comparatively meager revenues to fund its regional administration. In Baghdad, preoccupation with Arab-Kurdish tensions would stunt development of the state. In addition, with Erbil continuing to block constitutional changes, Baghdad could one day be gutted by new autonomy movements in oil-rich Basra or gas-rich Anbar. In contrast, by isolating and containing the dispute between Baghdad and Erbil, an asymmetrical model would reinforce Iraqi unity and free the rest of the country to choose alternative governance arrangements on their own merits. This could at least provide a framework to consider the grievances of provincial leaders and perhaps defuse the potentially grave crisis sparked by angered Sunnis' symbolic declarations of autonomy."
'The perils of piecemeal intervention' (Jonathan Tepperman, New York Times)
"What we do know is that Syria is a deeply divided country, with a minority-based government presiding over mutually hostile religious groups (Sunnis, Alawites, Christians, Druse) and ethnicities (Arabs, Kurds). Add more gunpowder to the mix and you have a recipe for an ugly intercommunal war. Such a conflict would dwarf the turmoil seen so far, send refugees flooding across Syria's borders and draw in outside powers. Creating safe havens for fleeing civilians might sound like a better idea, since these would be more clearly defensive. But in practice they could prove just as problematic. Without major outside support, such sanctuaries would risk being overrun by hostile forces, as they were in Bosnia in 1995. And with full protection, they could become bases of operations for rebels fighting outside the safe zones, again expanding the war. Neither of these options, moreover, would address the central question: Who should rule Syria and how?"
'Should Israel accept a nuclear ban?' (Room for Debate, New York Times)
But Israel will not eliminate its nuclear weapons program simply in order to reduce regional tensions or pave the way for a broader Middle East peace. Israeli officials have said off the record that they would only acknowledge their nuclear program and discuss constraints after a sustained end to regional hostilities and reciprocal limitations on its neighbors' W.M.D. programs.
Zeev Maoz:
Israel could use its nuclear weapons as a bargaining chip that would help the nation define the terms of the regional security regime. It could supplement the "land for peace" principle with the "nukes for security" principle. Israel's military strategy has been daring and creative, while its peace strategy has been hesitant and reactive. It is time Israeli diplomacy caught up to its military ingenuity.
--Tom Kutsch & Mary Casey
Israeli attack upon Iran is a global catastrophe
And in fact unjustified on any factual basis whatsoever.
L.A Times, "U.S. DOES NOT BELIEVE IRAN IS TRYING TO BUILD A NUCLEAR BOMB", February 23, 2012:
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-iran-intel-20120224,0,6528507,print.story
"As U.S. and Israeli officials talk publicly about the prospect of a military strike against Iran's nuclear program, one fact is often overlooked: U.S. intelligence agencies don't believe Iran is actively trying to build an atomic bomb. A highly classified U.S. intelligence assessment circulated to policymakers early last year largely affirms that view, originally made in 2007".
"Both reports, known as national intelligence estimates, conclude that Tehran halted efforts to develop and build a nuclear warhead in 2003. The most recent report, which represents the consensus of 16 U.S. intelligence agencies, indicates that Iran is pursuing research that could put it in a position to build a weapon, but that it has not sought to do so. Although Iran continues to enrich uranium at low levels, U.S. officials say they have not seen evidence that has caused them to significantly revise that judgment. Senior U.S. officials say Israel does not dispute the basic intelligence or analysis..."
A war initiated by Israel would spread to our interests in about half an hour. Iran would certainly hit back to the best their abilities. Prices for petroleum would certainly skyrocket to who knows what level, collapsing our fragile economy like a house of cards. Same for the whole world's economy for the same reasons. Mass chaos from Lebanon to Pakistan. Things quickly spiral out of control. Afghanistan explodes. Al-Qaeda claps its hands in glee in Yemen and Somalia. China and Russia get quite hostile. Radioactive clouds drift eastward over India. And of course in this event, Iran would conclude that it must quickly obtain a nuclear WMD capability. Achieving exactly what you claim you want to avoid.
The interests of America are for a peaceful resolution of this conflict, one in compliance with the terms of the NPT.
An Israeli attack would slam the whole world into what? Choose your own apocalyptic metaphors. Zionism (a political philosophy having little to do with Judaism) is racism and unending war. Love it, or leave it. Decide while time remains to do so.
Thanks for sharing that LA times article did not see that. I am unsure what we are going to do or if talks with Iran are even on the table. We are living in retro america if we think these aren't real threats. It's not 1950 and we don't eat off melmac dinnerware and wives do not stay home so someone needs to wake up and smell the coffee and grow some you know what and talk to Iran man to man. Where is Hillary when you need her?
The United Snakes (US/Israel are making friends al
If a nuclear free Middle East is what rthe United Snakes want, the ball is in their court.
Meanwhile, surrounded by 44 US bases loaded with nukes plus that 1/2 acre of Zionist hell and its 200/400 tactical nukes. I say GO IRAN!
Self-defense is a national priority for all nations. Unless, of course, you are the US/NATO bankrupt predator oil thieven thugs wanting to assure your carbon supplies that the small impotent countries 'own' before you are too weak or too broke to go snatch it from them.
The interesting thing is that /macho man' Israel and its racist constituents have (Polled) "No attack on Iran unless the Great Satan is there "(Just in case we bite off more than we can chew?) LOL!
If Iran has those advanced Russian X-55h nuclear tipped cruise missiles it has supposedly obtained from Bellaruss in 2010. Then I say: "DON'T WORRY - BE HAPPY Pilgrims. The biggest problem that will exist is 'Getting enough Dow Corning zippered oderless body bags to the arrogant incorrigibles fast enough and oif course the 7th fleets DECON teams and plenty of pumping power.
Yes. Our foreign policy regarding air travel dates back to at least the 1920's. There are various facets of that policy but the main one is called "cabotage". Here, I'll give you a head start: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabotage Be sure to follow the "See Also" links about the Jones Act, Open Skies, etc..
"Is rio orange war always forfait sosh inevitable ?"
MaximB

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