Monday, February 20, 2012 - 9:33 AM

A team of five United Nations International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors arrived in Tehran a day after Iran cut off oil exports to Britain and France. A spokesman from Iran's Oil Ministry, Ali Reza Nikad-Rahbar, said the move was part of punitive measures that will be employed against "hostile" European countries that have complied with sanctions. European countries make up about 18 percent of imports of Iranian crude oil, and have collectively agreed to an oil embargo set to begin in the summer. The trip for the team of U.N. inspectors has been the second in a month during efforts to revive talks that collapsed in Istanbul a year ago. They come at a time of heightened tensions over concerns that Iran's nuclear program, which the country maintains is for peaceful purposes, is instead aimed at nuclear weapons development. Last week, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made an appearance on state television announcing progress in the program, increasing the amount of centrifuges and inserting nationally made fuel rods. Meanwhile, the United States has initiated escalating sanctions and not ruled out a military strike on Iran if concerns over the nuclear program are not allayed. Iran's Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said "In these negotiations we are looking for a way out of Iran's current nuclear issues so that both sides win."
Headlines
Arguments & Analysis
'Fighting to remain relevant? The PKK in 2012' (Franco Galdini, Open Democracy)
"As the revolutionary upheavals are set to continue well into 2012, the question of future alternatives emerging in the Kurdish mainstream, especially from the youth, becomes crucial. In other words, if both the traditional (armed) and new (political) axes of the struggle are increasingly perceived as either irrelevant or too weak, respectively, to enforce a change of policy by the Turkish state, the possibility of a Kurdish (youth-led) movement taking matters in their own hands on the recent example of several countries around the region becomes very real."
'Muslim Brothers and Egypt's economy' (Mohamed El Dahshan, The Daily Star)
"How the Brotherhood's budget turns out depends on how parliamentary alliances coalesce. Existing tensions between liberal and Islamist parties will be replaced by common interests; the Brotherhood will find good allies in economic policy in smaller pro-market parties across the aisle. The end result will be a stumbling, learn-as-you-go pragmatic pro-market economic policy with a strong welfare component. Deregulation will slow. Relations with international donors won't change. In the end, the Brotherhood's economic policy may represent little change from the past two decades, as Egypt's economic policy maintained massive subsidization while conducting, or at least promising, pro-business reforms."
'Empty talk on Tahrir Square' (Tim Sebastian, New York Times)
"Parliament's unwillingness to confront the generals is understandable. After all, they still have higher than 80 percent approval ratings across the country -- and they're still making the key decisions. But it does mean that the new politicians' first days at school risk being defined by what they won't do, rather than what they will. A recent survey of the assembly's political parties, conducted by Amnesty International, found, for instance, a depressingly patchy response to the question of women's rights and very little appetite to campaign for female equality. More alarming, though, is the re-emergence of fear. Once again, I was told, Egyptians are starting to look over their shoulder to see who might be listening, to be careful what they say on the phone, to begin considering all over again who they can and cannot trust. "The intelligence services are extremely active," says a well-known commentator."
--Tom Kutsch & Mary Casey
Israeli attack upon Iran is a global catastrophe
WaPo 2/11/12: "Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu criticized economic sanctions against Iran as ineffective and warned that any military strike against the country’s nuclear facilities would inflame the region while doing little to curb Iran’s ambitions..."
“I am telling you, a military strike is a disaster,” Davutoglu told a gathering at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank. “It should not be an option.”
I wish more Americans knew that:
1. Iran has signed the NPT which grants them in paragraph IV the "inalienable right" to develop nuclear technology for power generation and medical imaging isotopes. It is an easy google, see for yourself. Iran is not going to surrender their legal rights under the treaty.
2. Iran's nuclear generation and enrichment facilities are currently under the constant inspection of the IAEA including the Fordo facility near Qom. This inspection includes 24/7 video surveillance.
3. There is no allegation by the IAEA that ANY enriched uranium has been diverted from its surveillance.
4. There is no allegation that Iran has enriched any uranium beyond the 20% required for medical imaging isotopes, whereas enrichment to around 95% is required for any weaponization purposes.
5. They can prove what they are doing. They cannot prove what they are not doing. You cannot prove a negative. "Might", "could", and "maybe" are not good reasons for another war that would certainly result in vast chaos from Lebanon to Pakistan militarily and politically.
6. Iran with no nuclear weapons is zero military threat against nuclear superpower Israel. Israel has not signed the NPT and is in possession of hundreds of nuclear warheads. More importantly, it possesses the most advanced delivery systems in the world including nuclear powered ballistic missile firing submarines. A nation with zero nuclear weapons does not attack another with hundreds.
Even if (a hypothetical) Iran did some day acquire a nuclear weapon (to secure itself from vicarious nuclear attack) it could never use it against Israel because of the intertwined nature of the Palestinian and Israeli populations. Al-Aqsa Mosque, the third holiest site in world Islam is in Jerusalem and they would never risk its destruction.
7. A war initiated by Israel would spread to our interests in about half an hour. Prices for petroleum would certainly skyrocket to who knows what level, collapsing our fragile economy like a house of cards. Same for the whole world's economy for the same reasons.
8. So if we really want all the hugely negative consequences, just raise your hands now. If not, this had better be prevented or it will be the capper that puts us in the crapper for good.
What the IAEA can and can't do.
It is important to point out that the IAEA can only demand that Iran accede to something for which the IAEA has a mandate to investigate under the terms of the NPT and the individual bilateral agreements between member states and the IAEA.
And that mandate is quite limited: the IAEA is tasked with verifying that radioactive material is not being diverted into any other nuclear program.
That's it.
That's all that the IAEA can insist upon investigating, no matter how much it might express its "concerns" about what the Iranians might be doing at Parchin, or however much Amano might roll his eyes regarding whatever blueprints might have been found buried inside The Laptop Of Death.
Those issues are simply Outside The Mandate Of The IAEA.
Iran has signed the NPT which grants them in paragraph IV the "inalienable right" to develop nuclear technology for power generation and medical Denise Adams imaging isotopes. It is an easy Google, see for yourself. Iran is not going to surrender their legal rights under the treaty.
He went to india to improve the billateral ties between two biggest economies on earth. India at present thriving for growth and Obama looked at it as a great opportunity to build better relationship and bring more business back to home USA. Again India is the only country on earth that very much simulate in terms of eqaul opportunties and ethinic tolerance. I hope this answers your Q..
"Is rio orange war always comparateur forfait mobile inevitable ?"
MaximB

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