Iran agreed to nuclear talks and an IAEA mission

Posted By Mary Casey, Tom Kutsch Friday, January 13, 2012 - 9:48 AM Share

Iran agrees to nuclear talks and an IAEA mission

Iran has agreed to a U.N. inspector mission and to hold talks in Turkey with the permanent five members of the U.N. Security Council and Germany on its nuclear program. The decisions come after the assassination of an Iranian nuclear scientist and a U.N. announcement that Iran has reached 20 percent enrichment, suggesting progress toward nuclear weapon development (though President Mahmoud Ahmadenijad maintains Iran's nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes). The U.N. delegation visit is scheduled for January 28 through the first week of February and will be headed by Herman Nackaerts, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief inspector. Additionally, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani said Iran is ready for "serious" talks which he said could "yield results" if they are "not a game." Meanwhile, the United States is continuing to apply pressure on Asian countries to cut Iranian oil imports. On Thursday, the U.S. applied sanctions on the state-run Chinese Zhuhai Zhenrong Corp, which is the largest supplier of refined petroleum products to Iran, and on Singapore's energy trader Kuo Oil Pte Ltd and FAL Oil Company Ltd. Russia, who has supported four rounds of U.N. Security Council sanctions, warned the United States on increasing sanctions and escalating tensions saying it would undermine international efforts to achieve a peaceful resolution to the Iranian nuclear issue.

Headlines

One Shiite protester was killed and three injured in clashes with security forces in oil-rich eastern Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron is currently on visit to meet with Saudi leaders.
Syrian activists have called for mass pro-Free Syria Army rallies across the country as the Arab League head said he feared current events could lead to civil war.
Sectarian conflicts surged in multiple regions in Yemen just as anti-government demonstrators continue to protest against an immunity deal for outgoing President Saleh.
Israeli and Palestinian officials will meet two more times in Jordan before the January 26 deadline but each side continues to blame the other for neglecting to present new proposals.

Daily Snapshot

Mourners carry the coffin of Iranian nuclear scientist Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan, during his funeral in Tehran on January 13, 2012, one day after he was killed when two men on a motorbike slapped a magnetic bomb on his car while it was stuck in Tehran traffic. Iran said its top scientist was killed by Israel and the United States as part of a covert campaign against its nuclear programme (ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images).

Arguments & Analysis

'Steps to defuse a crisis' (David Ignatius, The Washington Post)

"The time for communication may be running out. Economic sanctions are creating a worsening crisis for Iran, one that is a potential threat to the regime's survival. And more potent sanctions are on the way. Meanwhile, Israel, the U.S. and other allied nations are conducting covert actions against the Iranian nuclear program. Iran called the assassination this week of one of its nuclear scientists another in a series of "malicious terrorist attacks." At some point, the Iranians may conclude that the broad pressure campaign, overt and covert, means that a state of undeclared war exists -- and respond in kind."

'Lebanon: calm before the storm' (Fillippo Dionigi, Open Democracy)

"Hezbollah's situation is indeed a difficult one. Regional developments and the indictment of four of its members by the STL (another momentous event for Lebanon this year) represent major challenges. The Syrian crisis has put the Shiite movement in an uncomfortable position. Whereas it supported the uprising in Egypt, Tunis, Libya and Bahrain; Hezbollah has taken a defensive stance towards its Syrian ally. The movement is torn apart between its political identity promoting resistance and liberation and its strategic constraints as Syrian ally and member of the "Axis of Resistance". How Hezbollah will come out of the 2011 events is difficult to say. Its support to the Syrian regime has exacted a significant cost in political capital and it is hard to imagine how it can recover popularity, in a region galvanized by the fall of three dictators with more, seemingly, to come."

'Tunisia: ideology vs. practicality' (The Economist)

"One determinedly articulate block of public opinion, echoed by some of the press, is reluctant to accept Nahda's electoral victory. It is also spooked by the increasing visibility of radical Salafist Islamists. Lecturers were dismayed when the humanities faculty of Tunis's Manouba University was closed down by Salafist protesters wanting women students to be allowed to wear the niqab, the full face-veil, in class. Riot police were dispatched onto the campus to end the sit-in without violence, signalling that the government will not be held to ransom by such groups."

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12:09 PM ET

January 13, 2012

No war against Iran!

To all posters that really have little knowledge of what is going on in Iran, and are not just our usual Zionists pumping for a THIRD and even more catastrophic war, a few comments.

My wife is Iranian and an American citizen. I have had two extended trips to Iran in recent years, and have been all around the country. As an obvious American, I was received everywhere with courtesy, respect, and civility. Iran is changing very fast. It has a large and growing, educated and westernized economic class, more women than men have advanced university degrees as architects, educators, attorneys, and they drive and vote. Iran has a major underground of artists, intellectuals and literati (what we would call liberals), young people clued into all the latest western fashions and music. ALL are sick and tired of the present theocratic Mullah dominated state.

It is true that they can easily close the Straights of Hormuz via small ship actions, mining, and missile strikes. They do not need to defeat or sink the American navy to do this. Insurance rates on tanker traffic would do the job very nicely. 30% of all the world's petroleum transits this narrow passage. A new war with petroleum price spikes to who knows what, would collapse the fragile American economy, not to mention the whole world economy, like a house of cards. China would NOT be pleased.

Regarding the most recent IAEA report, I have taken reasonable efforts to look at it. It does NOT maintain that Iran has diverted any enriched uranium from its constant 24/7 inspection, NOR does it maintain that any material has been enriched beyond the 20% level necessary for medical imaging isotopes. Most posters may know that enrichment to over 95% is necessary for weaponization purposes. The radiological signature of such enrichment is actually quite easy to detect, if it occurs.

The IAEA report DOES mount political attacks that Iran may have the capability to do something in the future that to date, they have not done. "Might" "could" and "maybe" are not reasons for another disastrous preventive war.

Recently, we have seen the splitting of the conservative factions that to date have formed the backbone of the IRI. The current elected president (Ahmadinejad) is in increasing and active conflict with the Guardian Council, being the core of the Mullah leadership of the state. Even elements of the Revolutionary Guards have grown greatly disillusioned with the thuggish clampdown on protesters.

My father in law says, leave them alone. Do not provoke a new war that would result in vast chaos worldwide, geopolitical, economic, and military.

I hope no one takes this as an apology for the regime. If we had not overthrown the Iranian democracy in 1953 via the CIA’s Operation Ajax, which put the hated Shah back on the throne for several decades (he had been expelled at that time), none of this would have happened.

Let us not compound historic mistakes by making a far greater one now.