Monday, July 11, 2011 - 7:12 AM

On June 3, Yemen's long-ruling President Ali Abdullah Saleh was badly injured in an attack by unknown assailants. His departure from Sanaa to a military hospital in Saudi Arabia seemed to many people to have finally resolved the long standoff between Saleh's embattled regime and a variety of political challengers. But the intervening weeks have brought Yemen no closer to resolving the political uncertainty.
Anti-government protesters first erected tents in cities like Sanaa and Taiz. Tribal leaders then began to slowly come out against the Saleh government and express their support for the youth movement. As the once resilient tribal patronage system began to break down, chaos erupted across the country, leaving Saleh with only a small piece of real estate in a northern mountain valley to reign over. With Saleh in Saudi Arabia and no replacement in sight, who is running Yemen?
In the vacuum created by Saleh's absence, his politically crippled deputy has been left as a steward to Sanaa's empty seat of power. Just days after his unplanned departure, Saleh's son Ahmed took up residence in the presidential palace, sending a message to protesters and defiant tribesmen that his father's will would be done through his proxy. Meanwhile, Yemen's political opposition, the Joint Meeting Parties, has taken control of Sanaa's Change Square protest camp, attempting to solidify its political life in any new government. While Sanaa's power brokers look to posture themselves to take seats of power, the Yemeni government has lost total control over the rest of the country.
Yemen's rugged northern tribal regions have rarely been ruled directly by president, imam, or foreign colonizer until the rise of Ali Abdullah Saleh in 1978. Learning from the dismal failures of the Ottomans and succeeding five failed presidents, two of which were assassinated, Saleh took a more nuanced and delicate approach to ruling the fractured region. Instead of governing Yemen's tribes by force or sheer military domination, Saleh began to co-opt the tribes into Yemen's government through a system of patronage. Some sheikhs received government stipends while others were placed in prominent political and military positions.
Throughout most of his political career, Saleh maintained a subtle but stable hold on the Yemen Arabic Republic, known as North Yemen. In 1990, he became the first ruler since the Queen of Sheba to rule over the entire historic region of Yemen (except for northern regions now under the control of Saudi Arabia). In spite of a civil war in 1994, he continued to hold North and South Yemen together in one state.
Fissures began to appear in Saleh's fragile dominance over Yemen's north in 2004 when a group of tribesmen, calling themselves the Believing Youth, rose up in armed rebellion against the Saleh government. While the Yemeni government claimed that the Zaidi Shiites of the northern Saada governorate sought to reinstitute an imamate, the rebels themselves claimed that they were marginalized and discriminated against by the government. These Houthi rebels, named after their now dead leader Hussein Badreddin al-Houthi, fought a series of six wars against the Yemeni military, with the last war ending in 2009. Ironically, what was once the most war-torn region of Yemen is now the safest. With most of the military focused on maintaining control of major cities swarmed by anti-government protesters, the Houthis have had an opportunity to rebuild their communities and live in complete lack of state control.
Sanaa: Saleh's last bastion
One of the last remaining vestiges of government control in
Yemen is the country's capital, Sanaa. In spite of Saleh being whisked away to
Saudi Arabia to receive treatment for wounds sustained in an attack on his
palace, his son Ahmed, commander of the Republican Guards, and his eldest
nephew Yahya, commander of the Central Security Forces, have maintained a
stranglehold over the city. Military checkpoints still dot the city; more
ominously, soldiers of the Central Security Forces, the only Yemeni military
branch that has remained ostensibly loyal to President Saleh, still roam the
streets. All along the city's major thoroughfares, Yahya's men stare intently
at passing traffic, looking down the barrels of Russian heavy machine guns
mounted in the back of camouflage-painted pickup trucks.
The rural north: The
land of tribal autonomy
Yemen's tribal areas have never been friendly to centralized
control, at the behest of foreign powers or Yemeni leaders. The country's most
powerful tribal confederation, Hashid, has even managed to bring the fight to
Saleh's doorstep in the capital. Under the leadership of Sadeq al-Ahmar and his
younger brother Hamid, a billionaire businessmen and opposition political
figure, the Hashid confederation and Yemen's Republican Guards engaged in a
13-day-long war in downtown Sanaa. After Saudi mediators managed to negotiate
a cease-fire, fighting began in several tribal strongholds such as the city of
Arhab, just a few miles outside Sanaa. With fighting still ongoing,
tribesmen are showing no intention of coming under the umbrella of Saleh's
government ever again.
Marib governorate: Yemen's
Wild West
The Marib governorate, east of Sanaa, has been wracked with
chaos ever since the death of Jabr al-Shabwani, son of prominent Sheikh Ali al-Shabwani, killed by a U.S. drone strike in May 2010. To take revenge for
his son's death, Ali destroyed a section of one of Yemen's largest oil pipelines,
leading to billions of dollars in lost revenue for the Yemeni government. As
anti-government protest began sweeping the country, Ali and his tribesmen
ramped up their campaign against the government's infrastructure. The oil
pipeline was attacked several more times, and attacks against power stations
began. In addition, tribesmen still control a long stretch of road leading into
Sanaa, blocking shipments of fuel.
Taiz: The hub of the youth revolution
Last February, protesters first erected tents in the city of
Taiz, Yemen's intellectual and industrial capital. Since the first tent spike
was driven into the asphalt, crackdowns on protesters have been worse than in any
other city in the country. Also unlike anywhere else in Yemen, tribesmen have
been fighting back against security forces in Taiz. Sheik Hamoud al-Makhlafi, a
former member of Saleh's ruling General People's Congress Party, has declared
himself and his tribe to be defenders of the youth revolution. Street battles
are a common occurrence in this contested city as Saleh and his relatives
attempt to retain control of Yemen's second-largest city.
Aden: South Yemen's
former capital
Founded in 2007, Yemen's southern separatist movement has
suffered extremely violent crackdowns and political imprisonments. Claiming to
be under the occupation of the northern tribal regime, the southern movement
has come out of the shadows in Aden and is operating in the open. The military
personnel loyal to Saleh's regime are distinctly
absent in Aden. Unlike Yemen's capital where anti-government banners and signs
are found only near Sanaa University, the port city is emblazoned with
anti-government graffiti on walls and shops and even across the high security
walls of now empty government buildings. The flag of the People's Democratic
Republic of Yemen, the former state of South Yemen, is a ubiquitous symbol,
hastily spray-painted throughout the city.
The Abyan governorate:
Under AQAP control?
Last month, armed militants descended from the surrounding
mountains into the city of Zinjibar, the capital of the Abyan governorate. The
militants were able to seize control of the city and adjacent villages with
ease, according to Abyan residents and witnesses who say that Yemen's elite
American-trained counterterrorism unit inexplicably withdrew from the area
hours before the attack. Since the seizure of the area by what the government
claims to be al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) militants, a war of attrition has been waged by the Yemeni
military through constant airstrikes and artillery bombardments. Thousands of
Abyan residents have fled the intense violence.
With southern Yemen falling away from government control and the north embroiled in political and tribal chaos, Yemen's fractured entities show little sign of coalescing. While several tribes, including the Houthi rebels and the Hashid Confederation, have expressed support for the youth revolution, few people, if any, have command of the vast tribal network that Saleh utilized so masterfully. Along with disparate northern tribes, many southern Yemenis have expressed a desire to secede from the north completely regardless of who is in power in Sanaa.
Prospects for the
future
Whatever government is born from Yemen's conflict, if any,
it will face the almost insurmountable task of re-creating a state out of a
county that has descended into regional control. With the economy gradually
slipping into complete free-fall, powerful tribesmen have taken it upon
themselves to supply Sanaa with gasoline and other basic essentials,
increasing personal revenue and solidifying their control over major highways.
With Yemen importing most of its supply of wheat grain and other basic foods,
the power to distribute fuel to trucks bringing food into major cities has
fallen to tribes. Any new government that is born from Yemen's political
turmoil would face these tribes as powerful rivals to consolidated central government.
With tribes seizing control of the northern economy, Yemen's south is left to suffer the consequences of what has essentially become a foreign economic crisis. As already deep-seated hatred for northerners continue to fester as the conflict continues, south Yemen, similar to Somaliland, may simply find it more prudent to secede and avoid undue suffering.
Jeb Boone is a freelance journalist based in Sanaa, Yemen, and managing editor of the Yemen Times.
Freedom for SOUTH ARABIA (SOUTH YEMEN)
we , in South resisting occupation of north to south since 1994 after failure of peaceful unity . our aim to restate our country again (
People's Democratic Republic of Yemen) , we started our peaceful revolution since 2007 ,thousands of south people were killed and thousands injured by using different kinds of forces , and thousands detained . regime of sana'a use different strategy to suppress the south revolution's ,such as:
1) blockage of local and international media to hide the fact what is going in south.
2) use Al-Qaeda group in south to kill south civilian's and south activist's , and try to link the south liberation with Al-Qaedea ,while the fact is that Sana'a regime has tie with Al-Qaeda.
3) use the force and heavy weapons to kill the South Yemenis.
4) cut off the salary , food , supply in South.
but still Sana'a regime couldn't stop revolution in South and South people's became more strong to resist the existence of north in South.
finally will continue to peaceful demonstration till will get our independence .
Thank for foreign policy newspaper
One week ago in 7-7 (the day when North triples and millitary forces supported by Al -Qaada occupied the south in 1994) Hundreds of thousands of South PeopleOut demonstrations in various cities of the south are calling for freedom and Independence..They all want to North occupation (Regime and Opposition) to get out from south...our issue is not with Saleh's regime only its with the Northren Tribal occupation..what happen in north is not our business..it is completely northern internal issue.
We hope from American Media and the free world to listen carefully to the south people what they want..get the information from the people not from the northern regime or its biased journalists
Silence and fear, shame shame <Freedom for South Yemen>
South Yemen declared in July 7, 2007 a restoration of a state of law and order, which ruled the south before the unit due to the failure of unity in the war of the summer of 1994 made many, many dead and wounded and prisoners is still the leader of National Movement of South Hassan Ahmed Ba'oom in the darkness of a prison system of the Republic Yemen Arab people of the south we call the United States and other countries to stand with the people of the south to self-determination and the restoration of state
Southerner want to restore their state .. Which was occupied by yemeni forces in 1994 ..since 2007 they go out to the streets peacefully protesting demanding the departure of the occupation of Yemen...until now Yemeni force killed 900 martyrs and thousands of wounded.....and thousand of detained
The issue of the south yemen its not overthrow the regime . we in the south regions under occupation since 1994 by northern army with the help of Al-Islah party mercenaries led by Abdul Majeed al-Zindani (accused in the united states by supporting terrorism ) and tribesmen led by Sheikh Abdullah al-Ahmar and his son Hamid al-Ahmar ( who is leading a revolution of change in the North) . There are up to 1000 a martyr . thousands injured and and many of the detainees since 2007 the year that ushered in a peaceful movement south .We want our independence and build our country and fight terrorism .we will fight ,we find it necessary and we know we shall win as we are confident in the victory
Death to the occupation of the Yemeni
We are the sons of the South call upon the U.S. to stop walking behind the lies of the occupation of Yemen in striking terrorism there is going to have any terrorism because they are all false allegations and if you want to know where terrorism is emanating from inside the presidential palace in Sanaa and the regime of Ali Saleh liar liar liar ...
We want you to help to liberate our occupied the South and we will give you all the safeguards and assistance to the public interest ....
South yemen does not want the north occupation any more we never wanted them in the first place trhey came illagle
The world needs to focus on this subject.
We saw sudan seprate from the north now you will see south yemen as the newst country
People in the south had been treated like S#$& and most of the money yemen gets is from the south we had enough we have been protesting pecfuley from 2007 and we will keep it pecful until wee get our freedom

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