Wednesday, June 8, 2011 - 9:58 AM

What conclusions are to be drawn about the state of Middle East peacemaking from the extraordinary spectacle of the adversarial encounter between President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and their several major adversarial addresses in the second half of May?
The spectacle did not bring an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement any closer. Indeed, Netanyahu's address to the U.S. Congress, no less than Congress's reaction to that speech, effectively buried the Middle East peace process for good. For what America's solons were jumping up and down to applaud so wildly as they pandered pathetically to the Israel lobby was Netanyahu's rejection of a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict, thus endorsing his determination to maintain permanently Israel's colonial project in the West Bank.
If Netanyahu succeeds in his objective, these members of Congress will be able to take credit for an Israeli apartheid regime that former Prime Ministers Ehud Barak, Ariel Sharon, and Ehud Olmert predicted would be the inescapable consequence of policies the congressmen cheered and promised to continue to support as generously as they have in the past.
Unfortunately, it is an outcome made more likely by Obama's insistence that a United Nations resolution could never bring about Palestinian statehood. He was wrong about that. That the United Nations can create a state was affirmed and celebrated not by enemies of Israel but in Israel's own Declaration of Independence of 1948. It is the U.N. Partition Resolution of 1947, not negotiations between the Jews and Arabs of Palestine, that is cited in that declaration as having brought about the state of Israel and the source of its legitimacy.
It is the United Nations, not Netanyahu nor even the United States, that can and should bring the state of Palestine into being -- and would do so if the United States were not to prevent it. The bilateral talks with Netanyahu that Obama is insisting Palestinians return to will only continue to serve, as they have in the past, as cover for the expansion of Israeli settlements whose purpose it is to annex (i.e., steal) enough Palestinian territory to preclude the possibility of Palestinian statehood.
Does a Palestinian appeal to the United Nations imply an improper "unilateralism" that Israel and the United States accused Palestinians of? Nothing could be further from the truth.
Leaving aside the hypocrisy of accusations of unilateralism from Israel's government, there is nothing "unilateral" about a Palestinian request to the United Nations that it help resolve a conflict that the parties have been unable to resolve on their own for nearly half a century. What is decidedly unilateral is Israel's massive transfers of its own Jewish citizens into the occupied territories in order to create "facts on the ground" that pre-empt a negotiated settlement of the border controversy. It is also a brazen violation of the Fourth Geneva Convention, which was adopted by the international community to prevent a repetition of the massive Nazi transfers of their population into the territories they occupied during World War II.
An equally egregious violation of the Oslo Accords is Israel's unilateral annexation of East Jerusalem, whose future is also a permanent status issue to be negotiated by the parties.
But the real reason for the groundlessness of Obama's criticism of the Palestinians' decision to turn to the U.N. is that they do not intend to ask the Security Council to determine the resolution of the permanent status issues (though that is what they should be doing, for reasons argued below). Instead, they intend to ask the U.N. to recognize their declaration of national self-determination, a declaration that -- by definition and by international law -- can only be made unilaterally.
The right to self-determination by the majority population in a previously mandated territory is a "peremptory norm" in international law, one that overrides and nullifies conflicting treaty obligations. Yet the U.N.'s recognition of Palestinian statehood would not conflict with nor pre-empt negotiations of the permanent status issues, which would still have to be resolved between the parties. But it would confirm that negotiations of changes in the status quo ante of 1967 must begin from the 1967 lines, a position endorsed by Obama, the European Union, and virtually every country in the world.
Does Obama really prefer that Palestinians negotiate with Israel as a subject people rather than as a sovereign nation?
***
The speeches by Obama and Netanyahu did serve to focus the world's attention on Israel's 1967 border and on the concept of land swaps. Netanyahu falsely portrayed Obama's proposal that this border serve as the starting point for negotiations over territorial swaps as locking Israel into the 1967 lines. As Obama pointed out in his speech to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), if the purpose of the negotiations is to reach agreement on territorial swaps, then -- by definition -- they are intended to alter the 1967 lines, not to make them permanent. So why did Netanyahu lie, and why is he so determined to avoid negotiations over land swaps, which Palestinians are not only prepared to negotiate with Israel but in return for which they are willing to forego their request for recognition by the U.N. in September, a move Netanyahu seems terrified of?
The answer is Netanyahu lied because he knows that reciprocal land swaps would necessarily rule out his goal of preventing a Palestinian state, for Israel would have to trade parts of its own territory in return for Palestinian territory it wishes to retain. Of course, Netanyahu would not have allowed negotiations over land swaps to reach a conclusion and would have continued the expansion of Israeli "facts on the ground." While the principle that Palestinian land taken by Israel must be compensated for with Israeli land is one that he and his coalition government reject, they also do not want to be in a position of having to reject it formally, for that would expose another of Netanyahu's lies -- that he is committed to a two-state solution.
It has been reported the United States is once again trying to get the parties to resume negotiations on the basis of Obama's proposal in his May 19 speech. But the expectation that negotiations based on the principle of land swaps would improve prospects for successful bilateral talks is entirely groundless. There is no reason to believe that Netanyahu and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas would be able to reach agreement on such swaps more easily than on any of the other issues they have been unable to agree on. Netanyahu would use the same tactics he has used in previous bilateral talks -- either refusing to reveal his stand on those issues or coming up with demands that no Palestinian leader could accept -- to assure the continuation of the occupation and of Israel's land grabs, which in fact are not only continuing but have intensified, both in Jerusalem and in the West Bank.
It is not the proposal of equal land swaps that can advance a negotiated Israeli-Palestinian accord. It is, instead, the "default setting" of Security Council resolutions 242 and 338. Both resolutions affirm categorically that territory cannot be acquired --neither by the aggressor nor by the victim of aggression -- as a result of war. It follows, therefore, that if Israelis and Palestinians cannot agree on adjustments in the 1967 border, the Security Council must act to restore the status quo ante, i.e. the pre-1967 border, without any changes, or with adjustments determined by the Security Council.
The default setting of these resolutions could not conceivably be that the occupier may hold on permanently to the occupied territories or may determine unilaterally how much of those territories to annex. If that were the case, resolutions 242 and 338 would have provided states that illegally occupy territory beyond their internationally recognized borders with an irresistible inducement to avoid reaching a conflict-ending accord. It is the false notion that in the absence of a peace agreement, resolutions 242 and 338 do indeed allow Israel to continue its occupation indefinitely that is responsible for Netanyahu's expectation that he will succeed in retaining control of all of Palestine simply by putting forward conditions for a peace agreement that even the most irenic Palestinian leader could not accept.
Bottom line, Obama is wrong in his assertion that the U.N. can never bring about a Palestinian state and that only a resumed Israeli-Palestinian peace process can. The precise opposite is true. Direct negotiations, even if begun at the 1967 lines and based on land swaps, will never produce a Palestinian state. A long and unbroken history of failed direct Israeli-Palestinian negotiations and failed American mediation attest to that truth. Only the U.N. can produce a Palestinian state -- provided, of course, that Obama does not veto the effort.
Henry Siegman, president of the U.S./Middle East Project, is a nonresident visiting research professor at the Sir Joseph Hotung Middle East Program, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London.
AFP/Getty images
EXPLORE:ARAB WORLD, MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AMERICA, BORDERS, HUMAN RIGHTS, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, ISRAEL/PALESTINE, U.S. CONGRESS, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY, UNITED NATIONS
Bombardment and blockade are aggression
Before the 6 day war Jordan and Syria repeatedly bombarded Israel with artillery, furthermore, they specifically targeted civilians. This is black letter causus belli. Egypt for it's part blockaded Eilat, a black letter violation of the San Remo treaty.
Based on actual international law Jordan, Syria and Egypt were the aggressors. This is why articles like this never actually examine the technical legal points of the six day war.
"...effectively buried the Middle East peace process for good."
The beginning of wisdom in assessing the Israeli-Arab situation is to first admit the truth. There is no such thing as "the Middle East peace process" and hasn't been for years, if ever. There is a nation, Israel, and an adjacent force which is dedicated to its destruction. Period. The rest is a shameful kabuki dance designed to kick the can down the road as long as possible.
History has yet to see an example of two implacable enemies negotiating a stable peace, short of a decisive military solution. I doubt this will be the first.
That having been observed, it is mendacious to attack Israel for defending its own existence.
The declaration of Palestine at the UN will not be enough to remove Israel and its victims - i.e the settlers - from harm's way (the West Bank).
Therefore, negotiations will have to be conducted AFTER Palestine is a state, so that if negotiations fail because of Israel, then Palestine can pursue LEGAL means to get Israel out. It's very simple.
Abbas's problem is that since his rise to the helm, he put all his eggs in the US basket, and therefore, he doesn't have other options - as a politicians - in case his US friends let him down.
On another note, Netanyahu's pre-conditions just prove how short-sighted is this man. By demanding the recognition of a Jewish state from the Palestinians, he again puts on the table what has for decades been considered a closed file: Israel's own existence as a state for the Jews.
Typical Netanyahu.
What have Obama and Netanyahu wrought?
The article is well articulated and made easy for the readers to understand the salient points of differences between the two personalities on the dispute. In addition one can easily draw own conclusion as to what would an aggrieved party is likely to do after being harassed, humiliated and tortured over more than six decades suffering a gruesome Genocide with no Justice being matted out until today. It also amply explained Israel's hidden wicked plan to grab Palestinian land without coming to term to a solution of the dispute. For nothing the US, President was willfully harassed and insulted by the Israel's PM at the behest of the AIPAC and the Majority leader of the house of the congress a lackey of the Israel's PM.
The world community of Nation has understood the wicked policy of the Israel government. However, the sympathy they had for Israel in the past years diminished totally, after Israel committed barbaric crime against humanity on unarmed Palestinian innocents.
The US President who sincerely worked for Israel's peace has suffered a backlash recently for his sincerity and honest ventilation of the truth for the welfare of the Israel. Of course, it was preplanned attack on the President by The Majority leader of the congress and AIPAC not realizing that if Israel failed to heed President's advice then Israel would be faced with dire consequences, which would be very difficult for US, EU Israel itself and Palestine even to reverse the action in coming September. Now the people have started to realize but it may be too late to reverse the motion.
However, the US Secretary of State is trying her level best to restart the negotiation but seems she would not succeed. In any case, it is expected that irreparable damage would be done in the month of September 2011, for which Israel's Netanyahu government will solely will be responsible along with AIPAC and the Leader of the majority house of congress.
This kind of diatrib belongs in a street demonstration not FP
In the first two paragraphs of this article you encounter statements like "Netanyahu's rejection of a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict" and "these members of Congress will be able to take credit for an Israeli apartheid regime." Saying that Netanyahu is agianst two-states solutions against Netanyahu's own public declarations in favor of two state solution, is downright lie and the author knows it. Calling Israel an apartheid regime is hate speach with no basis in facts. There is nothing substantive in this article; it is pure propaganda and has no room in a professional magazine like FP.
The diatribe is your own JOSSEFPERL
>> Saying that Netanyahu is agianst two-states solutions against Netanyahu's own public declarations in favor of two state solution, is downright lie and the author knows it.
False. Netanyahu campainged on platform of rejecting a two state solution and his own father says that Bibbi has no intention of allowing a Palestinian state to emerge. By rejecteing the 1967 border with land swaps, Netanyahu is ensuring that no viable Palestinian state could ever come to fruition.
>> Calling Israel an apartheid regime is hate speach with no basis in facts.
Rubish. Nelson Mendela and desmond Tutu, both of whom kow a thing or two about apartheid have declared Israel worse than apartheid.
You may now return to your coma.
Elliot Abrams has convinced me...
...that the more settlers Israel puts into the West Bank, the larger will be the eventual Palestinian state. Go figure!
FROM ELLIOTT ABRAMS, 04/08/09:
…Is current and recent settlement construction creating insurmountable barriers to peace? A simple test shows that it is not. Ten years ago, in the Camp David talks, Prime Minister Ehud Barak offered Yasser Arafat approximately 94 percent of the West Bank, with a land swap to make up half of the 6 percent Israel would keep. According to news reports, just three months ago, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert offered 93 percent, with a one-to-one land swap. In the end, under the January 2009 offer, Palestinians would have received an area equal to 98 to 98.5 percent of the West Bank (depending on which press report you read), while 10 years ago they were offered 97 percent. Ten years of settlement activity would have resulted in a larger area for the Palestinian state…
SOURCE – http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/07/AR2009040703379.html
I should just like to mention something that even the author of this piece seems to be unaware of. For Palestine to be recognised as a state it needs to be approved by the Security Council and it is expected that once again the US will veto a resolution not flattering to the Zionist state. That being the case resolution 181 to partition Palestine in 1948 failed to get the required vote for it to even be passed to the Security Council because the Arabs voted against it.
This means that when the Zionists declared the state of Israel in May 1948 it was an illegal act. The subsequent ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians from their homeland was and remains a crime under international law. It’s a bit sad when Israel says that the UN vote for a Palestinian state is an attempt to illegitimise Israel when Israel has no legitimacy to begin with.
I quote from the story: "what America's solons were jumping up and down to applaud so wildly as they pandered pathetically to the Israel lobby was Netanyahu's rejection of a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict,"
First, describing people who have won elections to Washington as solons is just plain silly. Second, all those jumping up and down during the Netanyahu speech to Congress were displaying their hunger to receive more contributions -- gifts -- from electors who hold the interests of Israel close to their hearts. As the Israeli prime minister walked out, he had every reason to take comfort from the knowledge that yes, the US Congress really is for sale.
People seriously interested in the merits of the Netanyahu case would have given it a sober, unathletic hearing. The representatives of the American people voted themselves cheerleaders.
"Only the U.N. can produce a Palestinian state -- provided, of course, that Obama does not veto the effort. "
But he will veto the effort. End of story.

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