Friday, June 4, 2010 - 6:14 PM

A year after President Obama's historic speech last June 4 in Cairo, the reality of his Middle East policy is in sharp contrast to the promising rhetoric and high expectations he raised. Obama's address, coupled with a concerted outreach strategy, made a deep impression among Arabs and Muslims. Many hoped that the young African-American president would seriously confront the challenges facing the region and establish a new relationship with the world of Islam.
Although it is not too late for Obama to close the gap between rhetoric and action, sadly for now, he has not taken bold steps to achieve a breakthrough in America's relations with the Muslim arena. His foreign policy is more status quo and damage control than transformational. Like their American counterparts, Muslims desperately long for real change that they believe in.
Unless President Obama takes risks in the Middle East, he might end up leaving a legacy of broken promises and shattered expectations in the region. Unless addressed effectively, Obama runs the risk of rupturing America's relationship with the Muslim Middle East further.
The Arab and Muslim response to the Cairo speech last year revealed a sense of optimism, of real change, tempered with instinctual scepticism. There also was a widespread feeling among many Arabs and Muslims that a man with the name, Barack Hussein Obama ("Blessed Hussein is with us"), would understand their universe better than his predecessors and treat them as partners, instead of subordinates, and rectify previous mistakes and misuses of American power.
Obama raised expectations that concrete action would follow. Even forces of defiance and resistance, such Hizbollah, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood, conceded that what Obama said represented a breath of fresh air in U.S. foreign policy. But across the political spectrum, all stressed they would assess his policies and actions, not only words.
A year later, there is an increasing belief among Arabs and Muslims that Obama has failed to live up to his sweet words. The terminology of the War on Terror is no longer in use but Guantanamo Bay is still open and President Obama has escalated the war in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia, Yemen, and elsewhere. His Arab-Israeli peace drive has reached a deadlock, and Obama lost the first round against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. His promise to free the Palestinians from Israeli military occupation and to help bring about an independent Palestinian state will unlikely materialize in his first term in the White House.
The new president has also put the brakes on democracy promotion, and instead, embraced America's traditional Middle Eastern allies--Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Pakistan, and Israel--regardless of their domestic politics and conduct towards their citizens.
Obama's inability to match rhetoric and action has deeply disappointed Arabs and Muslims who had hoped that the young president would transform America's relations with the region, or, at least, open a new chapter. An increasing number of Arabs and Muslims say that the young president talks the talk, but does not walk the walk, and that his policies are an extension of his neoconservative predecessor--a sweetened poison. For them, Obama's rhetoric rings hollow, empty talk. Public opinion polls and surveys do not fully reflect the depth and intensify of disillusionment with Obama. An entrenched view has taken hold among Muslims that the U.S. is not genuine about engagement and pays lip service to their hopes, fears, and aspirations.
Obama likely misjudged the complexity of the region and the exuberant political costs associated with a transformational strategy. His promises of genuine engagement and building a new relationship with Islam's 1.3 billion people are no longer taken as seriously, a fact that undermines the credibility and efficacy of his foreign policy in the greater Middle East, including the wars against Al Qaeda, the Taliban in Afghanistan and their Pakistani cohorts and counterinsurgency in general. Middle Easterners will not buy rhetoric emanating from the White House unless accompanied with a concrete shift in U.S. policies toward the region. Obama's outreach to Muslims is at risk because of widely-held perceptions that he either does not mean what he says or cannot deliver on his tall promises.
Obama has implicitly conceded that his Cairo speech rhetorically overreached. In an interview with Time Magazine, Obama surprised his interviewer when pressed on the Israeli-Palestinian issue: "This is just really hard...and if we had anticipated some of these political problems on both sides earlier, we might not have raised expectations as high."
If Obama really wishes to repair the damage wrought by his predecessor and to build a new relationship based on mutual interests and respect, he must have the will and vision to chart a new course of action and invest some of his precious political capital in resolving festering regional conflict, particularly the establishment of a viable, independent Palestinian state, and making structural investment in institutional building and civil society.
To do so, Obama's foreign policy team must answer several critical questions. Every president has limited political capital to invest in international relations. Is Obama willing to take stock of American foreign policy toward the greater Middle East, particularly relations between the United States and its local authoritarian clients? Is he willing to structurally reconsider the traditional U.S. approach, which views the region through the prisms of oil, Israel, and terrorism? Is he willing to listen to the fears and aspirations of young Muslims and to take risks to help bring about real change in their societies? Is he willing to invest precious political capital in freeing the presidency from the claws of the lobbyists and special interest groups who have a stranglehold over the country's Mideast policy?
Arabs and Muslims too must realize that Obama does not possess a magical wand and does not bare all the blame for the lack of political progress in the region. Unfortunately, they placed high and unreasonable expectations on a new president without considering the complexity of the U.S. foreign policy decision-making process and the reality of American domestic politics as well. The imperial presidency is powerful but presidents' hands are often constrained by Congress, the foreign policy establishment, domestic politics and the media and public opinion and advocacy groups. Obama's domestic and foreign policy agenda is crowded and, on his own, cannot deliver an Arab-Israeli peace settlement.
Perhaps a better question on this one year anniversary is what influence Muslim states can exercise in Washington, and what they are willing and able to do to support the desired transformation of relations. Will they be willing to employ their rich assets and present a genuine unified position? If history is a guide, the answer is a resounding no. If they really want to see meaningful change, then Muslims must lend a helping hand to steer the U.S. foreign policy ship in the right direction. Arabs and Muslims must stop whining and blaming the young president and, instead, play an active role in influencing U.S. foreign policy and bringing about real, lasting change.
Fawaz A. Gerges is a Professor of Middle Eastern Politics and International Relations at the London School of Economics, London University. Gerges has written extensively on relations between the U.S. and the Muslim world. Among his books is America and Political Islam: Clash of Cultures Or Clash of Interests? (Cambridge University Press).
YOu make me laugh, Obama never should have went to Cairo
Why should the U.S make appeasing steps towards muslims at all, you sound as if he ows you something, the leader of the free world should have appoligized and suck up to the worst dictators on earth in order to make some muslims happy, Muslim radicals attacked America and America should ttake steps to put your minds at ease, you guys should take some responsibility on yourself, promote creation democracy freedon education and human rights instead of looking to Obama, kick out your dictators and fight the Extremists and invest in your children and your future, fight Radical Islam that is the first step, stop lying to yourself that the west is at fault, you have the richest natural resouce oil, use it if there is seriously any such thing as arab unity and unity does not mean hate for Israel and the west. If the muslims were brave they would look into themselves and fix themselves from the inside instead of blaming the west . You guys don't even denounce terro so I don't have big expectations but lets not expect ridicolous things from Obama that is an idiot and never should have gone to Cairo make the extremists laugh at the u.s
Obama is not the leader of the free world
Obama is not the leader of the free world. He is the President of the United States of America. I do not know if there is a free world anywhere but the US is not leading it and given its past and current FP positions I can not think who would follow. Israel is about the best friend the US has and they are not following. The leaders of some countries have followed some policies but I am struggling to think of any instances where it was not over the objections of their own people.
I, like the articles author, live in the UK which has been about as sycophantic as any country in following the US's ill advised military adventures - again not with popular approval.
Who are these dictators of which you speak and why is America supporting them?
"promote creation democracy freedon education and human rights" this is a little tricky when the US is actively supporting those crushing exactly these. How do you think the House of Saud and Mubarak's attempts to found a dynasty perpetuate themselves. The US is not just neutral they are the problem. If the US just took its fleets and armies home, withdrew all its alphabet soup agencies and ceased to meddle in the internal politics of any other nation it would be the first useful thing it has done in a long while. The world would not collapse it would however become significantly more peaceful thought. If it actually wanted to be helpful, and not a pariah state, it could, along with the EU and others, reform the protectionist global trade rules to let some of the poorer states have a fighting chance. It could stop selling weapons to states that should not be left in charge of a water-pistol. It could stop papering the globe with its military. It could their budget so the US had a military that looked as if it was designed for the protection of the US of A rather than global domination. It could admit that much of the problem is of our own making and that we would not have suicide bombers all over the world if we did not keep invading other peoples countries and protecting Israeli actions, however barbarous. But most of all more Americans could to try and see the world as viewed from the perspective of others, we all grow up in a bubble of our local media, and propaganda, and it takes a real effort to try and see the world as viewed by someone in a different bubble. Americans have a lot more ability to access other bubbles than most, it is disappointing that so few take advantage of this privilege or seriously try and spread it into those countries who are radicalised by never being able to see another point of view.
Arvay, the US is not against Turkey
The US is not alarmed about Turkey the way Israel is. I doubt we would promote Israel at Turkeys direct expense. The US is alarmed because, regardless of whatever side is more "in the right," Turkeys actions raise the chance of conflict. The spectre of a full scale war between two nations with modernized militaries and economies is very bad. That hasnt happened since the end of WW2, and it would be a dangerous step for the world. We would be "alarmed" if Canada started getting mad at, say, Brazil, even if Canada had a totally justified reason. I guarentee you, if Israel fought a war with any fairly-developed nation that isnt already hostile to us, the US would not support Israel. When it comes to this sort of thing, the largely apolitical intelligence and diplomacy guys have a lot of sway over the politicians, and they know it would be a bad idea.
Are u going to be one of those brave holly warriors that is taking part in this fight, do yo want to get your 72 year old virgin, because if you are so brave than move to Afghanistan and go fight some westerners, or you are welcome to go to any other failing medieval muslim country, though I suspect you are comfortably sitting in the West somewhere crying about freedon and democracy, there is no need for more bloodshed genius but with your wishes you don't help to bring the peace, how didi you cry for the Iranian demonstrators you phony, how about those fatach guys the hamas threw off the 18th floor that was pretty democratic take over, how about cypress is turkey an occupier there, how about the kurds in turkey? How are their human rights, you arabs only speak of democracy when it suits your needs, you will have the islamist take over and than it is the end of democracy. I have not seen one functioning arab democracy yet, and it is seriously because you guys live in the middle ages, you need to act like humans to each other and accept the different and quit teaching radical islam to kids, it doesn't matter what you call it democracy shemocracy, whatever, it matters how you act when poeple can say what they think without worrying about being arrested , being able to have real freedom, if you like terrorists to lead you that;s fine but democratic countries don't use terror as means to get political goals unlike "democratic arab entitites", you think the Europeans are goin to be happy with your warriors on their land have fun with them.
your future, fight Radical Islam that is the first step, stop lying to yourself that the west is at fault, you have the richest natural resouce oil, use it if there sex Obama that is an idiot and never
>Even forces of defiance and resistance, such Hizbollah, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood.
Oddly enough, the U.S. State department lists the first two of the three as foreign terrorist organizations. Perhaps the U.S. needs to take a fresh look at the Muslim Brotherhood to see if they qualify to make the list.
>An increasing number of Arabs and Muslims say that the young president talks the talk, but does not walk the walk
They are just figuring this out now? You don't think the 2009 Iranian riots
and Obama's response to them might have swayed their opinion?
>Arabs and Muslims too must realize that Obama does not possess a magical wand
You got that right, "hope and change" is ringing pretty hollow these days, with or without a "magic wand".
This paragraph:
" Is Obama willing to take stock of American foreign policy toward the greater Middle East, particularly relations between the United States and its local authoritarian clients? Is he willing to structurally reconsider the traditional U.S. approach, which views the region through the prisms of oil, Israel, and terrorism? Is he willing to listen to the fears and aspirations of young Muslims and to take risks to help bring about real change in their societies? Is he willing to invest precious political capital in freeing the presidency from the claws of the lobbyists and special interest groups who have a stranglehold over the country's Mideast policy? "
Is the problem with the middle east.
regarding the first question - why is it America's responsibility to change its relationship to its authorization allies? It's not their responsibility to bring democracy to the world, no matter how much propaganda they put out saying that.
The second question, what else is the middle east relevant for except israel's survival, oil, and terrorism? Please.
Third question - ROFL, those young muslims are the ones responsible for bringing change in their societies, not obama or any damn US president. Unbelievable. Obama couldn't EVEN IF HE TRIED.
By then of course 'interfering in muslim affairs' will be the talking point and muslims that don't belong in that group waiting for obama to fix their lives will be angry with the US. but what about those young muslims and their aspirations, what do they want? Do we have any concrete things here, or are you just making up some group out of thin air? Last time I checked young muslims are increasingly intolerant and hateful muslims. If there's another type, what exactly do they want from the american messiah? They don't want anything, just like the tea partiers don't want anything, except to weep and wallow in victimization and hate and spew irrationalities imported from the western left. If they do want something, only they can help themselves and not anybody else, sure as hell not obama.
Last question - oh, those jews! Yes, obama should go on TV and tell the american people the jews control america and he's going to fight them. he'll have an incredibly diverse backing - from bin laden to ayatollah khamenie to chomsky and his fellow 'humanists' - and then lose his reelection and piss off back to chicago. yes please!
here's an idea to those oppressed muslims - stop salivating at jewish blood and praying for their genocide day and night and convince hammas and the palestenians to at least PRETEND to stop doing that and maybe this jewish lobby wouldn't have such an easy time running US foreign policy .
Great post. Why should the U.S make appeasing steps towards muslims at all, you sound as if he ows you something, the leader of the free world should have appoligized and suck up to the worst current political news dictators on earth in order to make some muslims happy, Muslim radicals attacked America and America should ttake steps to put your minds at ease, you guys should take some responsibility on yourself, promote creation democracy freedon education and human rights instead of looking to Obama, kick out your dictators and fight the Extremists and invest in your children and your future
How Obama lost Muslim hearts and minds
As commented on the post "A year after President Obama's historic speech last June 4 in Cairo, the reality of his Middle East policy is in sharp contrast to the promising rhetoric and high expectations he raised. Obama's address, coupled with a concerted outreach strategy, made a deep impression among Arabs and Muslims. a target="_blank" href="http://worldtopstories.wordpress.com/">world top news stories Many hoped that the young African-American president would seriously confront the challenges facing the region and establish a new relationship with the world of Islam".
How Obama lost Muslim hearts and minds
As commented on the post "A year after President Obama's historic speech last June 4 in Cairo, the reality of his Middle East policy is in sharp contrast to the promising rhetoric and high expectations he raised. Obama's address, coupled with a concerted outreach strategy, made a deep impression among Arabs and Muslims. world top news stories Many hoped that the young African-American president would seriously confront the challenges facing the region and establish a new relationship with the world of Islam".
The only way out that I see is a single democratic state that does what South Africa has done to reconcile blacks and whites after apartheid. I don't think the Israelis -- clothed in state-sponsored victim mentality and a kind of permanent post-traumatic stress, constantly stoked by the Israeli right wing -- can rise to the occasion. Reasonable borders become "holocaust borders," theArabs are the new Nazis, etc.
Realistically, I think this will end badly. Once Israel moves against Lebanon, accurate missiles will fall on its military and high tech industrial sites. Israel cannot afford the kind of replica IWC casualties it would take to "pacify" Lebanon and/or to take on Syria. Personally, I think there's a 50-50 chance Israel will become the second nation to use nuclear weapons.
Once that line is crossed, there will be no turning back, and the consequences may be catastrophic for the world.

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